NBA Free Picks
Steve Nash was expected to return from back issues but had a setback. And so it goes for the Los Angels Lakers (16-29 SU, 24-20-1 ATS, 26-19 O/U) nightmare season. Indiana (34-9 SU, 28-15 ATS, 18-24-1 O/U) has struggled on their West Coast road trip, with double-digit losses to Denver and Phoenix. The Lakers host the Pacers from the Staples Center on Tuesday night at 10:30pmET from Los Angeles.
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NBA Betting Odds
The Indiana Pacers opened as a 9-point betting odds favorite and moved to 10 in most books. The total opened at 203 and moved to 205 in most books.
Last game: (3/15/13): Los Angeles Lakers (+8.5) over Indiana, 99-93. The last four matchups have gone over the total bet three times.
Los Angeles Lakers:
- G Xavier Henry (knee) is out indefinitely.
- G Kobe Bryant (knee) is out six weeks.
- G Steve Blake (elbow) is out indefinitely.
- G Jordan Farmar (hamstring) is out four weeks.
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Key Betting Trends
- 11-5 ATS last 16 vs. Western Conference.
- 19-7 ATS last 26 Tuesday games.
- 22-6 ATS last 28 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Road team is 5-0 ATS last 5 in series.
- 6-2 ATS last 8 playing on two days rest.
Los Angeles Lakers are:
- 1-4 ATS last 5 following an ATS loss.
- 10-23 ATS last 33 Tuesday games.
- 2-6 ATS last 8 playing on one days rest.
Can the Pacers get back to the defensive ways?
The Los Angeles Lakers are coming off one of the most difficult road stretches that you can imagine. They finished a seven-game road trip on Sunday with a loss to New York, 110-103, so they had just one day to rest up after playing seven games in 11 days.
The Lakers have lost four straight and allowed an average of 109 points per game to the like of the Knicks, Orlando, Miami and Chicago. They have allowed 100 or more points in 12 straight games and are giving up and average of 114.1 during that stretch.
Indiana has to get back to their defensive mentality after losing two of their last three games. They do lead the NBA in scoring defense, allowing just 90.2 points per game. They’ve allowed an average of 59 points at the first half of their last three games, so getting off to a better start will be emphasized for this game.
Paul George has been playing like an MVP most of the season and in the last seven games, the All-Star forward is averaging 27.9 points per game.
One of the more underrated players in the game is Pacers guard Lance Stephenson, who is averaging 23.5 points, 10 rebounds and 6.5 assists in his last two games.
Tuesday’s NBA Free Pick: Go with the Indiana (-10) over Los Angeles Lakers